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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 8, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pistons47%107125
14Trail Blazers53%108124
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.4
52
30
28
14
0
4
1
2
1
2
12
2-3
67%
13-20
6-12
65%
54%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
48
35
26
4
2
4
1
0
3
2
2
4-5
80%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
4-7
57%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.7
47
30
31
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
11-20
5-10
55%
48%
2-6
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
46
30
10
5
5
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-13
3-6
38%
49%
0-4
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.7
6
27
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
54%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
38
31
14
9
3
1
1
1
2
0
9
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
53%
0-5
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.6
25
12
5
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
21
18
9
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
6
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.4
12
0
2-4
55%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
8
0
1-2
46%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
3
0
0-1
50%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.0
1
0
0-0
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
44
35
35
3
6
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
13-19
6-13
68%
49%
3-9
33%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.5
43
35
20
9
5
0
1
0
5
0
9
3-4
75%
4-7
5-11
57%
48%
3-9
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
40
29
8
10
12
1
1
3
3
6
4
0-2
0%
4-11
5-8
36%
55%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
37
32
16
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
1-1
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
46%
1-3
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
26
29
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
56%
1-3
33%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
43
31
30
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
7-10
2-5
70%
49%
5-5
100%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
25
27
4
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.9
18
9
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.4
13
7
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
10
0
1-2
56%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
8
0
0-1
41%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
5
0
0-1
46%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.