Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Wizards	31%	103	108	114.9	94	100.6
	5	Celtics	69%	110	117	124.5	94	88.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	38.7	9	21%	7	11	3	1	1	2	3	4	1-2	50%	4-16	25%	0-5	0%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	38.2	14	32%	9	4	2	0	1	1	2	7	1-2	50%	5-15	33%	1-6	17%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 24	37.1	35	65%	2	4	1	1	2	4	2	0	3-4	75%	7-16	44%	6-10	60%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	36.9	20	83%	6	4	3	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	7-10	70%	2-2	100%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	31.7	10	63%	9	2	0	0	1	0	5	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	18.7	13	59%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	16.4	5	83%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	13.0	0	0%	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	9.3	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| NWT - Illness
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danuel House Jr. #4 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	48%	44	28	10	3	7	0	16	28	8-12	67%	35-79	44%	10-26	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	38.7	9	21%	7	11	3	1	1	2	3	4	1-2	50%	4-16	25%	0-5	0%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	38.2	14	32%	9	4	2	0	1	1	2	7	1-2	50%	5-15	33%	1-6	17%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 24	37.1	35	65%	2	4	1	1	2	4	2	0	3-4	75%	7-16	44%	6-10	60%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	36.9	20	83%	6	4	3	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	7-10	70%	2-2	100%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	31.7	10	63%	9	2	0	0	1	0	5	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	18.7	13	59%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	16.4	5	83%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	13.0	0	0%	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	9.3	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| NWT - Illness
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danuel House Jr. #4 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	48%	44	28	10	3	7	0	16	28	8-12	67%	35-79	44%	10-26	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 28	38.0	38	61%	5	5	0	0	4	1	3	2	5-6	83%	9-18	50%	5-11	45%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 23	36.3	9	38%	4	4	0	0	2	4	2	2	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	0-5	0%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 27	34.3	20	91%	6	1	1	1	0	0	0	6	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	4-6	67%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 31	32.6	16	67%	9	3	2	2	2	2	1	8	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-6	33%
Jordan Mickey F · 6'8" 235 · 23	14.0	4	100%	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	1	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 23	25.0	11	92%	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26	23.0	6	60%	6	3	0	2	2	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 30	22.5	8	67%	6	1	0	1	2	1	2	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31	14.4	5	42%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30	\| DND - Left Ankle Sprain
Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 20	\| DND - Right Ankle Sprain
Demetrius Jackson G · 6'1" 201 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Avery Bradley #0 · G · 6'2" 180 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Young #13 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	63%	45	20	5	7	14	0	10	35	14-18	78%	26-44	59%	17-41	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	BOS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.96 48.2%

BOS

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

18

34

53%

BOS

19

32

59%

Midrange

WAS

17

45

38%

BOS

7

12

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

10

15.0

26

38%

58%

BOS

17

25.5

41

41%

62%

Free Throws

WAS

8

12

67%

BOS

14

18

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	35	65%	17.5 / 27
O. Porter Jr.	20	83%	10.0 / 12
M. Morris	14	32%	7.0 / 22
J. Smith	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Gortat	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Wall	9	21%	4.5 / 21
S. Mac	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Burke	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Oubre	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Thomas	38	61%	19.0 / 31
J. Crowder	20	91%	10.0 / 11
A. Horford	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Rozier	11	92%	5.5 / 6
M. Smart	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Jerebko	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Olynyk	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Green	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Mickey	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 111.0 7 111.5	WAS 114.9 BOS 124.5 +9.6
Pace	9 97.5 12 96.5	WAS 100.6 +11.7 BOS 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.4 18 14.8	WAS 14.3 −1.9 BOS 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 52.8% 9 52.5%	WAS 47.6% BOS 60.6% +13.0%
TO %	16 13.7% 7 13.1%	WAS 6.8% −6.3% BOS 13.1%
ORB %	13 24.1% 24 21.3%	WAS 31.4% +5.1% BOS 26.3%
FTrt	25 25.4 17 27.3	WAS 11.4 BOS 21.2 +9.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 57.7% 2 65.3%	WAS 62.2% +15.7% BOS 46.5%
STL %	3 8.6% 19 7.8%	WAS 10.6% +5.3% BOS 5.3%
BLK %	24 7.1% 25 7.1%	WAS 6.8% BOS 8.9% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 55.0% 6 55.3%	WAS 48.2% BOS 62.9% +14.7%
Rim FG%	10 59.5% 14 59.1%	WAS 52.9% BOS 59.4% +6.5%
Mid FG%	2 44.0% 13 41.2%	WAS 37.8% BOS 58.3% +20.5%
3P %	8 37.2% 14 35.9%	WAS 38.5% BOS 41.5% +3.0%
FT %	12 78.5% 3 80.7%	WAS 66.7% BOS 77.8% +11.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 34.8% 16 35.1%	WAS 32.4% BOS 37.6% +5.3%
Mid Att. %	21 36.8% 3 25.6%	WAS 42.9% BOS 14.1% −28.7%
3P Att. %	23 28.4% 3 39.3%	WAS 24.8% BOS 48.2% +23.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	BOS
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.4
Points	108	117
Rebounds	44	45
Assists	28	20
Steals	10	5
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (9)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	35 (2)
Field Goals	45-105	43-85
At-the-Rim FG	18-34	19-32
Midrange FG	17-45	7-12
2-Point FG	35-79	26-44
3-Point FG	10-26	17-41
Free Throws	8-12	14-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg