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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 12, 2017
3:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers51%109112
19Nuggets49%108140
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.7
31
31
10
4
3
4
2
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
0-6
5-10
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
28
30
4
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
27
27
8
4
0
0
1
1
0
4
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.6
25
30
14
3
9
0
1
0
6
0
3
4-5
80%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.8
21
31
9
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-12
6-10
25%
54%
1-1
100%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.2
27
20
12
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 32.0
23
15
14
0
6
3
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
2-5
40%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.1
20
16
10
5
2
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.8
20
18
20
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
48%
6-7
86%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.0
8
14
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.9
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
3
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.6
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
34
19
16
5
6
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
32
30
21
7
3
2
1
0
1
0
7
3-3
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
50%
2-5
40%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.4
30
32
18
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
4-6
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
30
17
22
10
8
1
1
1
3
3
7
6-6
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
58%
2-3
67%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
22
26
9
2
7
2
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
42%
2-5
40%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.0
24
23
9
7
3
1
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.9
24
20
11
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
3-6
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.1
16
14
15
9
0
1
0
1
2
4
5
3-3
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.9
11
16
8
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.4
8
21
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
4-8
100%
50%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
3
7
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.1
3
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.9
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.6
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.