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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 12, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pistons
107
1Warriors
127
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
34
32
21
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
46%
1-6
17%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
34
34
18
4
0
3
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
50%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.4
27
35
12
10
0
2
1
2
6
2
8
2-4
50%
5-6
7-13
83%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.7
25
32
14
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
5-11
80%
46%
1-6
17%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
4
37
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
45%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.6
38
19
8
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
26
4
6
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-8
0-1
25%
42%
0-4
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.4
16
8
13
11
2
0
0
0
0
6
5
3-3
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
16
17
4
1
2
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
11
3
4
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
5
7
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.0
5
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.7
11
0
1-3
51%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
36
36
23
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
5-10
5-9
50%
52%
4-5
80%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.3
31
35
25
6
9
1
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
7-10
6-11
70%
57%
3-5
60%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
30
33
2
9
13
0
2
2
1
1
8
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
30
35
24
2
7
5
2
0
8
0
2
3-3
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
55%
3-9
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.9
24
22
7
5
1
2
1
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.0
21
27
8
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
2-3
67%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.3
21
17
10
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.9
16
15
14
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
2-3
25%
54%
3-4
75%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
9
12
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
8
7
8
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
59%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.3
6
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.2
4
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
4
3
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.