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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 15, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls28%96108
9Grizzlies72%104104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.3
38
35
16
8
6
3
2
0
2
0
8
3-7
43%
5-9
6-12
56%
47%
1-5
20%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.8
37
26
12
7
2
0
0
3
1
3
4
2-5
40%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
32
28
18
8
1
1
1
0
1
0
8
4-5
80%
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
27
24
14
7
3
1
1
1
2
1
6
4-5
80%
5-7
3-7
71%
44%
0-1
0%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
15
10
5
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.0
33
22
31
6
0
1
0
1
1
0
6
10-11
91%
6-10
2-4
60%
47%
3-6
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.9
21
19
4
3
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.9
16
14
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.5
11
20
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.2
10
9
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.0
27
1
6-12
46%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
15
1
1-3
44%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.7
5
0
0-1
40%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.0
40
34
24
11
3
1
1
1
4
1
10
2-2
100%
8-16
6-12
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
37
36
28
5
8
2
1
0
2
0
5
7-7
100%
6-8
5-10
75%
49%
3-9
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.0
33
25
4
8
4
3
2
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.6
20
28
14
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
2-3
67%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
19
17
7
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
1-3
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
33
25
15
16
2
0
1
0
1
8
8
0-0
-
6-18
6-12
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.0
31
22
10
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
2-5
40%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
22
24
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
7
17
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-5
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.2
8
0
1-1
44%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.6
3
0
0-1
49%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.1
2
0
0-0
54%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.8
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.