Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Magic	40%	109	112	110.9	101	103.0
	16	Nuggets	60%	112	125	125.0	100	98.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 29	34.2	11	55%	4	4	0	0	3	0	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 27	30.4	15	63%	4	0	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Elfrid Payton G · 6'4" 185 · 23	28.8	20	56%	4	12	0	0	3	1	2	2	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 26	27.8	17	65%	4	2	1	1	1	3	1	3	1-1	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon F · 6'8" 235 · 21	27.8	4	33%	4	2	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%

Mario Hezonja F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22	20.6	3	38%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 24	19.8	15	68%	9	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	1-4	25%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 29	19.2	14	78%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Jeff Green F · 6'8" 235 · 30	17.2	13	54%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	6-6	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 33	13.8	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Damjan Rudez F · 6'10" 228 · 31	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24	\| DND - Sore Right Foot
CJ Wilcox G · 6'5" 195 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Stephen Zimmerman #33 · C · 7'0" 240 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	34	28	6	1	14	0	7	27	14-18	78%	37-63	59%	8-25	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 29	34.2	11	55%	4	4	0	0	3	0	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 27	30.4	15	63%	4	0	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Elfrid Payton G · 6'4" 185 · 23	28.8	20	56%	4	12	0	0	3	1	2	2	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 26	27.8	17	65%	4	2	1	1	1	3	1	3	1-1	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon F · 6'8" 235 · 21	27.8	4	33%	4	2	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%

Mario Hezonja F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22	20.6	3	38%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 24	19.8	15	68%	9	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	1-4	25%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 29	19.2	14	78%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Jeff Green F · 6'8" 235 · 30	17.2	13	54%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	6-6	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 33	13.8	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Damjan Rudez F · 6'10" 228 · 31	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24	\| DND - Sore Right Foot
CJ Wilcox G · 6'5" 195 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Stephen Zimmerman #33 · C · 7'0" 240 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	34	28	6	1	14	0	7	27	14-18	78%	37-63	59%	8-25	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	40.3	15	58%	6	2	1	0	3	0	0	6	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 21	37.0	18	64%	2	13	2	1	4	4	0	2	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	35.9	30	71%	11	5	3	1	2	2	3	8	3-5	60%	12-17	71%	1-2	50%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	33.1	20	83%	5	2	1	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	10-11	91%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 22	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	32.4	18	82%	4	4	1	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	2-5	40%
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	23.8	11	61%	0	3	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	20.6	9	38%	8	3	1	0	2	4	3	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	6.4	2	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	3.1	2	100%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Alonzo Gee #7 · F · 6'6" 225 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	64%	39	33	11	3	14	0	9	30	12-15	80%	43-62	69%	9-27	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.13 56.6%

DEN

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

24

31

77%

DEN

31

42

74%

Midrange

ORL

13

32

41%

DEN

12

20

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

8

12.0

25

32%

48%

DEN

9

13.5

27

33%

50%

Free Throws

ORL

14

18

78%

DEN

12

15

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Payton	20	56%	10.0 / 18
N. Vučević	17	65%	8.5 / 13
S. Ibaka	15	63%	7.5 / 12
B. Biyombo	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. Augustin	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Green	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Meeks	11	55%	5.5 / 10
A. Gordon	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Hezonja	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	30	71%	15.0 / 21
K. Faried	20	83%	10.0 / 12
E. Mudiay	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Nelson	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Gallinari	15	58%	7.5 / 13
W. Barton	11	61%	5.5 / 9
W. Chandler	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Nurkić	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Hernangomez	2	100%	1.0 / 1
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 104.5 4 113.2	ORL 110.9 DEN 125.0 +14.1
Pace	13 96.2 6 98.4	ORL 103.0 +4.9 DEN 98.1
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.7 23 14.4	ORL 14.0 −0.7 DEN 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 48.9% 5 53.0%	ORL 55.7% DEN 63.5% +7.8%
TO %	9 13.3% 23 14.7%	ORL 12.7% −0.9% DEN 13.6%
ORB %	22 21.6% 2 27.3%	ORL 18.9% DEN 25.0% +6.1%
FTrt	27 24.6 13 27.6	ORL 20.5 +3.6 DEN 16.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 58.0% 7 61.5%	ORL 62.2% DEN 63.5% +1.3%
STL %	25 7.3% 29 7.0%	ORL 5.9% DEN 11.0% +5.1%
BLK %	17 8.0% 30 6.3%	ORL 1.6% DEN 4.8% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 51.2% 5 55.4%	ORL 56.6% DEN 63.8% +7.2%
Rim FG%	24 58.1% 11 59.4%	ORL 77.4% +3.6% DEN 73.8%
Mid FG%	14 40.8% 19 40.2%	ORL 40.6% DEN 60.0% +19.4%
3P %	29 32.8% 11 36.8%	ORL 32.0% DEN 33.3% +1.3%
FT %	25 74.7% 17 77.4%	ORL 77.8% DEN 80.0% +2.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 32.4% 2 40.9%	ORL 35.2% DEN 47.2% +12.0%
Mid Att. %	24 37.7% 4 26.2%	ORL 36.4% DEN 22.5% −13.9%
3P Att. %	17 30.0% 10 32.9%	ORL 28.4% DEN 30.3% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	DEN
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	112	125
Rebounds	34	39
Assists	28	33
Steals	6	11
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	30 (5)
Field Goals	45-88	52-89
At-the-Rim FG	24-31	31-42
Midrange FG	13-32	12-20
2-Point FG	37-63	43-62
3-Point FG	8-25	9-27
Free Throws	14-18	12-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg