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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers28%10791
1Warriors72%115126
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
35
37
20
8
2
1
1
0
6
2
6
7-10
70%
5-14
7-13
36%
54%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.8
30
28
6
5
0
0
0
3
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.6
30
25
15
9
0
3
1
0
1
0
9
3-4
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
2-5
40%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.8
29
34
17
2
2
1
1
1
6
0
2
4-5
80%
5-14
6-13
36%
48%
1-5
20%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.4
16
31
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.8
27
22
11
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
3-8
38%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.6
20
17
11
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-5
60%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.8
17
17
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
16
18
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.8
7
6
2
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
0-2
0%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.8
7
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.3
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.4
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
35
32
11
13
11
1
2
5
0
2
11
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
31
35
26
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
5-5
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
5-11
45%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
31
33
20
2
11
4
2
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
55%
5-12
42%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.3
29
33
21
6
5
2
1
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-9
6-11
67%
56%
3-7
43%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.9
21
23
4
13
1
1
1
0
1
3
10
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.0
25
24
14
3
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
56%
2-2
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.3
15
18
13
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-7
2-5
86%
54%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
15
11
6
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.9
12
15
2
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
9
3
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
3-4
75%
0-2
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
9
7
4
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
59%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.2
5
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.0
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.