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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors56%10689
2776ers44%10494
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.8
40
22
24
4
4
5
1
0
5
3
1
11-16
69%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
3-8
38%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
38
33
25
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
11-21
9-20
52%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
30
28
10
15
1
0
1
0
0
5
10
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
55%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.5
23
27
0
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
11
13
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.0
31
27
8
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
2-7
29%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
26
29
5
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-9
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
18
18
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.9
14
18
8
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.9
6
13
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.3
4
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.8
8
0
0-1
48%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
2
0
0-0
48%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
36
27
10
5
2
2
1
1
5
0
5
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-2
50%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
29
19
10
5
8
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
27
22
26
9
2
1
1
2
4
0
9
12-14
86%
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
2-5
40%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
24
27
18
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
16
24
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.1
26
23
9
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.8
24
23
8
9
1
0
1
2
3
2
7
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
21
12
5
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.6
19
22
4
7
4
0
1
0
3
1
6
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
17
16
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.1
18
0
4-7
52%
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
9
0
1-1
44%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.5
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.