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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies54%103101
15Wizards46%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.0
39.3
35.8
28
67%
2
7
0
1
1
1
1
1
10-11
91%
9-13
6-13
69%
48%
0-3
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.6
34.4
24.3
15
95%
13
1
1
1
0
0
2
11
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
2-2
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
30.6
35.5
20
59%
3
6
0
1
0
5
1
2
8-9
89%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.0
29.8
28.3
6
34%
7
1
2
2
0
2
5
2
2-4
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
18.9
17.4
6
39%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.0
29.8
25.3
12
61%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
3-6
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
28.1
22.4
8
37%
6
1
2
1
0
1
4
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
20.4
27.8
6
21%
9
0
0
1
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-13
7-14
23%
47%
0-1
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.2
8.8
6.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
12.7
0
1-2
43%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.7
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.1
2.3
0
0-0
52%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.8
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
37.0
31.1
25
56%
2
13
2
2
1
4
1
1
10-10
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
48%
1-5
20%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.6
37.0
29.8
12
38%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
1-7
14%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
36.4
28.0
7
60%
11
1
0
0
0
0
3
8
1-2
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
56%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.6
34.3
31.0
25
100%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
56%
6-8
75%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
34.0
30.8
17
47%
12
2
1
1
1
1
3
9
5-5
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
0-5
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
19.7
24.1
3
44%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.9
19.6
15.5
8
45%
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.2
13.7
14.4
2
100%
3
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.2
8.4
16.1
5
73%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
7.4
0
1-1
48%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
3.6
0
0-1
49%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
2.5
0
0-1
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.2
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.