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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks55%10295
22Pistons45%100118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.9
27
36
21
8
4
0
2
0
2
3
5
6-9
67%
6-12
5-11
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.3
27
28
13
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.1
21
19
4
3
2
0
1
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
60%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.6
21
28
10
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
12
26
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.3
21
16
2
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.8
20
5
10
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
20
14
13
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.8
19
28
10
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.5
14
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
14
22
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.3
13
7
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.5
12
3
4
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-5
40%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
36
20
15
6
4
1
1
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
36
35
14
10
7
0
1
0
0
1
9
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
1-6
17%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.8
32
27
26
5
4
0
1
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
27
34
19
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
4-6
67%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.4
23
31
13
17
2
1
1
0
1
8
9
1-6
17%
6-15
6-11
40%
54%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.6
32
28
7
4
3
3
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
22
12
12
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
6-8
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
18
15
6
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
9
7
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.4
2
8
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.0
2
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
7
0
1-2
49%
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.6
3
0
0-1
47%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.