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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Thunder15%102100
1Warriors85%117121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.7
36.5
30.0
20
59%
3
2
4
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
4-8
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
35.2
32.7
27
48%
15
13
2
2
2
10
4
11
10-11
91%
7-17
7-15
41%
46%
1-6
17%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
33.6
28.3
3
19%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
55%
0-3
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
29.1
23.9
7
36%
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
0
3-4
75%
2-6
2-3
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 20.7
15.1
23.3
5
83%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.7
29.7
26.5
22
61%
9
1
1
0
0
3
5
4
0-0
-
11-18
6-11
61%
54%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.4
25.5
17.1
9
51%
1
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
1-5
20%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.7
17.2
4.8
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Alex Abrines
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.5
13.7
13.8
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
4.3
4.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.5
20.1
1
3-6
57%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.3
15.0
0
2-4
51%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 36.2
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
Semaj Christon
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
35.8
33.0
12
56%
11
5
1
2
3
4
2
9
2-4
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
54%
0-1
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
34.2
31.6
24
58%
4
8
3
2
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
55%
2-6
33%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.3
33.8
30.1
40
98%
12
4
0
1
3
2
2
10
9-10
90%
8-9
6-10
89%
57%
5-7
71%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
29.9
32.8
14
54%
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-7
5-9
29%
52%
3-5
60%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.9
18.9
21.0
5
35%
6
2
1
1
0
1
3
3
3-5
60%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.0
24.9
24.3
6
75%
2
5
4
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
57%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.4
19.8
16.7
8
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.9
12.7
13.4
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
11.4
12.5
8
80%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
52%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
6.1
8.1
2
35%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.3
5.0
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
3.6
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.2
3.6
5.8
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.0
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.