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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 19, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Mavericks49%10195
24Heat51%10299
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
37
36
18
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
4-9
44%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
34
34
15
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
7-11
7-13
64%
50%
0-3
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
32
30
6
3
9
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.4
32
28
15
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.6
29
27
19
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.6
19
16
4
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.9
17
17
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.6
16
18
13
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.7
11
11
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
1-1
100%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
10
14
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.9
2
0
0-0
47%
Pierre Jackson
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.4
1
0
0-0
41%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.1
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.7
38
35
32
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
6-10
60%
7-11
6-11
64%
53%
4-4
100%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
32
27
12
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-10
4-8
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
29
31
13
8
2
1
1
0
3
1
7
1-1
100%
6-12
6-11
50%
59%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
24
19
3
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
17
18
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
32
30
5
7
4
0
1
0
3
0
7
3-4
75%
1-3
4-6
33%
56%
0-3
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.7
28
31
23
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
7-9
78%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
2-2
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.1
19
22
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.7
13
14
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
2-3
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.4
9
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
11
0
1-2
47%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
6
0
1-1
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.6
3
0
0-1
47%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.8
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.9
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.