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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 19, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Nuggets23%102104
2Spurs77%113118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
38
5
8
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
38
32
35
12
4
0
1
2
3
4
8
5-5
100%
12-18
6-11
67%
56%
2-4
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.0
36
28
18
3
7
0
1
2
3
0
3
7-7
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
1-5
20%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
26
29
12
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
40%
2-4
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
25
28
5
9
1
0
1
0
2
3
6
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.9
27
24
5
2
9
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.9
26
10
13
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
2-8
25%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.4
14
9
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-5
20%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.9
11
1
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.4
37
1
3-7
44%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.1
1
0
0-0
43%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
36
34
34
5
4
2
2
1
1
0
5
8-8
100%
10-17
6-12
59%
55%
2-5
40%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.3
34
6
24
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
7-7
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
52%
3-5
60%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
33
14
10
16
2
1
0
1
0
5
11
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
55%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
29
31
10
3
6
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-9
7-13
44%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
22
26
5
1
4
2
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.5
20
18
14
5
4
3
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
1-3
33%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
19
18
7
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
59%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
16
16
3
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.2
15
6
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
59%
1-2
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.3
14
15
7
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-8
2-3
38%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.7
27
1
5-10
52%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.5
21
0
3-6
52%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.