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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 21, 2017
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Wizards55%104112
21Pistons45%102113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
39
34
19
7
10
2
2
0
4
2
5
7-9
78%
6-13
6-13
46%
47%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
38
32
19
9
2
2
1
1
3
4
5
3-4
75%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
2-5
40%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.6
38
34
17
5
4
2
1
1
0
1
4
9-11
82%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-7
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.6
34
31
11
7
3
2
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-7
3-5
29%
55%
2-6
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
25
30
12
7
2
2
1
0
1
1
6
4-5
80%
4-6
4-8
67%
56%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
27
23
11
4
0
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.9
19
19
16
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.2
9
10
7
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.2
6
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
5
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
4
0
0-1
45%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
2
0
0-1
49%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
1
0
0-0
49%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
40
30
18
9
5
0
1
0
3
1
8
0-1
0%
6-8
4-8
75%
54%
2-8
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
38
35
25
11
3
1
1
0
1
6
5
8-9
89%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
3-6
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
35
27
9
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
3-8
38%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.8
32
29
19
3
8
1
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
7-17
5-11
41%
49%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.4
18
28
3
10
1
3
1
1
4
3
7
1-4
25%
1-2
6-11
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.7
25
7
10
5
2
2
0
2
2
2
3
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
55%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
16
17
9
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
16
16
9
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.6
16
29
9
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.4
5
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
8
0
1-2
46%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
5
0
1-1
50%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.0
3
0
0-1
52%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.