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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 21, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets
119
9Grizzlies
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.6
36
35
3
10
2
0
2
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
1-6
17%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
35
24
30
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
54%
6-11
55%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
34
35
29
6
10
3
1
2
6
1
5
11-12
92%
3-3
5-10
100%
50%
4-6
67%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.5
30
29
7
7
4
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
16
25
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
59%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
30
30
21
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
3-11
27%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.9
24
20
6
5
2
0
1
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.4
16
11
12
3
0
3
0
1
1
0
3
4-6
67%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
0-0
-
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
16
15
5
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.4
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
31%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
13
0
1-2
46%
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.2
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.0
37
35
32
5
1
1
1
3
5
2
3
6-11
55%
10-15
6-13
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
35
33
15
4
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
3-8
38%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.6
30
30
7
9
2
2
1
0
2
6
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.0
25
29
0
4
2
4
2
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
22
11
12
2
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
1-2
43%
52%
1-4
25%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
28
29
3
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
24
24
11
8
1
0
1
0
0
1
7
3-5
60%
4-9
6-12
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.0
20
24
8
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.2
15
11
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.7
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.1
3
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
9
0
0-1
42%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.8
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.