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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 25, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2876ers29%99114
15Bucks71%107109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
35.2
33.3
11
51%
5
2
2
2
3
5
1
4
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
29.5
28.4
7
70%
3
13
3
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
27.9
22.0
16
69%
13
0
1
1
1
1
3
10
6-6
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
26.7
24.7
17
54%
9
2
1
1
0
2
1
8
2-4
50%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
25.8
24.6
11
79%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.1
23.9
22.3
20
78%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
2-4
50%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.8
21.4
22.5
17
57%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
44%
1-4
25%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
20.0
12.6
9
85%
8
1
1
0
0
4
2
6
3-3
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.6
18.5
16.8
4
106%
0
7
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-1
100%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
11.1
15.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
12.3
0
3-5
51%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.1
12.1
0
2-5
51%
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.5
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.1
39.4
34.8
17
42%
12
5
4
1
0
2
6
6
3-3
100%
7-12
8-14
58%
57%
0-7
0%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
37.6
34.6
20
55%
4
2
0
1
3
3
1
3
4-5
80%
8-12
7-12
67%
54%
0-4
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.2
30.8
24.6
9
65%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.4
29.1
25.3
9
45%
0
5
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
1-2
50%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.4
16.9
10.7
4
33%
6
0
1
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
29.8
20.9
28
70%
9
2
1
1
0
4
6
3
6-7
86%
11-17
5-8
65%
53%
0-0
-
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
25.8
29.8
10
57%
2
7
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.4
19.0
11.3
10
51%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
3-8
38%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.4
10.3
11.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 19.9
1.3
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 26.1
13.8
0
2-4
55%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
9.9
0
2-4
53%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.4
5.5
0
0-1
43%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.5
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.