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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 25, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors42%10199
8Grizzlies58%104101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.8
39.8
36.2
29
65%
4
8
1
2
1
0
2
2
3-3
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
47%
4-10
40%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
33.1
24.3
21
46%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
1-4
25%
7-17
2-5
41%
47%
2-4
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.9
26.8
13.6
3
19%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-7
14%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
25.6
28.5
6
77%
12
1
0
1
1
3
2
10
2-2
100%
2-3
5-9
67%
54%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.5
21.8
22.4
11
55%
6
2
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
48%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
29.4
25.1
15
55%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
24.2
25.5
8
82%
8
0
1
1
1
2
4
4
0-2
0%
4-4
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.0
20.5
27.9
6
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
2-7
29%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.9
15.2
13.4
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.9
3.6
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
7.1
0
1-2
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.3
4.2
0
0-1
50%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
38.4
23.8
16
68%
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
7
1-4
25%
6-8
6-12
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.0
38.4
34.9
42
71%
7
2
1
1
2
2
0
7
9-10
90%
9-15
6-13
60%
49%
5-10
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
36.8
27.8
6
50%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
35.9
33.2
11
33%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-12
4-9
25%
48%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.0
34.8
27.2
15
52%
11
1
0
2
2
2
3
8
0-1
0%
6-12
4-7
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.0
30.3
22.3
7
61%
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.2
18.5
12.2
2
53%
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.1
6.9
3.3
2
35%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.6
29.5
1
2-5
52%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.3
15.1
0
2-3
53%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
6.3
0
0-1
43%
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.1
4.7
0
0-1
51%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.7
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.