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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 26, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Suns32%109120
11Nuggets68%116127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
41.1
27.8
21
62%
8
0
0
1
1
0
1
7
2-2
100%
8-14
5-9
57%
52%
1-2
50%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 20.2
33.2
38.3
24
61%
0
6
1
1
0
5
0
0
5-6
83%
8-11
6-14
73%
47%
1-6
17%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.1
28.0
34.0
28
61%
4
5
0
2
0
1
2
2
7-9
78%
6-12
6-11
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 34.3
23.2
31.3
4
100%
5
1
3
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
4-7
100%
62%
0-0
-
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 19.6
7.7
16.5
5
83%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
1-2
50%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.7
39.0
31.6
11
55%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
3-4
75%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 25.2
29.1
18.9
17
77%
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
46%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
17.9
4.3
2
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 23.6
10.8
18.5
4
40%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 34.2
9.0
5.0
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 24.0
1.1
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Ulis
G · 5'10" 160 · 21.1
6.8
0
1-2
44%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 19.9
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 19.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
41.8
27.3
13
59%
4
9
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
35.8
29.9
29
61%
14
8
1
1
2
3
8
6
5-6
83%
12-19
7-11
63%
61%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
35.3
30.3
25
59%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
9-12
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
2-7
29%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
28.2
24.6
8
40%
1
1
1
1
2
3
1
0
2-2
100%
0-5
3-6
0%
54%
2-4
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
21.3
23.5
15
74%
6
0
1
1
0
1
4
2
5-5
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
56%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
30.9
24.4
9
55%
9
5
0
1
0
0
3
6
4-5
80%
1-5
3-7
20%
52%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
25.4
25.1
16
96%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
50%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
15.2
19.1
8
80%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.9
6.2
17.6
4
52%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.4
9.7
0
2-4
52%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
6.6
0
0-1
53%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.9
2.6
0
0-0
38%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.