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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 26, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Lakers17%9788
5Jazz83%11096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
30.5
12.6
4
33%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.7
29.4
27.7
13
54%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-4
40%
42%
3-7
43%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.8
21.3
25.2
6
50%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 30.5
16.6
16.4
9
46%
9
1
1
0
1
1
2
7
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.3
12.5
14.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 24.6
35.5
30.4
16
44%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
8-16
4-9
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.9
26.3
20.3
16
63%
10
1
0
0
0
0
2
8
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.3
24.9
25.1
20
83%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
7-7
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
1-3
33%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.1
22.6
15.3
4
50%
7
3
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 19.4
20.5
26.0
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
23.6
1
3-8
46%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.7
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.9
3.4
0
0-1
46%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 37.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
37.5
30.8
9
58%
13
0
0
1
6
0
3
10
3-4
75%
3-6
5-8
50%
63%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.7
34.3
31.3
12
38%
7
3
3
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
3-9
4-8
33%
53%
1-5
20%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 26.8
32.0
33.3
24
65%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
9-10
90%
6-8
5-9
75%
51%
1-6
17%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 24.3
22.2
29.8
5
42%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.5
21.5
24.9
8
40%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
54%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.3
25.8
23.7
7
72%
4
2
3
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.2
18.5
16.3
7
44%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.8
18.4
18.4
6
34%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
56%
0-2
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 35.6
16.0
18.4
7
79%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 25.5
13.7
19.3
11
58%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
4-7
3-5
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.8
7.5
0
1-2
53%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.5
7.3
0
1-1
51%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.9
1.3
0
0-0
55%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 24.7
Joel Bolomboy
· 6'9" 235 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.