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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets71%111123
2676ers29%103118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
42.0
24.4
11
46%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
3-9
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.6
41.4
35.9
7
45%
5
2
4
2
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
1-6
17%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
39.1
35.8
51
75%
13
13
2
2
1
5
1
12
13-14
93%
10-17
4-9
59%
52%
6-11
55%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.5
33.3
30.7
7
60%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.4
26.6
11.0
21
78%
6
2
0
0
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
10-13
2-3
77%
55%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
24.9
24.9
9
77%
3
1
2
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
56%
1-2
50%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
21.4
18.8
17
69%
6
0
2
1
1
4
2
4
3-3
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
60%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.9
11.3
18.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
19.5
1
1-3
47%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
19.1
1
3-6
61%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.0
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.4
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.3
1.0
0
0-0
33%
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
36.3
33.3
10
62%
5
2
2
2
0
3
0
5
6-7
86%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
28.2
10.0
32
71%
7
4
3
0
2
5
1
6
6-6
100%
7-14
2-4
50%
52%
4-6
67%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
28.0
24.6
9
38%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
1-5
20%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
27.8
28.4
13
80%
1
8
2
2
1
3
0
1
5-7
71%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
22.5
25.0
4
29%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.1
23.3
22.5
13
111%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.8
21.0
21.6
12
52%
4
2
1
0
1
2
0
4
4-6
67%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.6
20.3
17.1
8
54%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
19.8
23.7
5
64%
4
3
2
1
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
12.9
13.3
12
110%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
15.2
0
2-4
55%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.1
9.8
0
2-4
52%
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
2.5
0
0-0
44%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.5
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.