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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hornets53%108107
20Knicks47%107110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.7
36.6
34.6
31
50%
10
5
0
1
1
1
2
8
3-4
75%
11-18
5-11
61%
48%
2-11
18%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.3
36.5
31.7
12
61%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.1
36.0
34.9
15
58%
11
9
1
1
0
5
2
9
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
3-6
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.6
31.2
27.0
17
61%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
5-9
56%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.1
18.0
15.1
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.8
25.2
15.3
6
52%
5
1
1
0
2
2
2
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.8
21.8
20.5
5
42%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.8
20.5
23.7
15
72%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
14.2
13.8
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.7
6.8
0
1-2
52%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.3
2.2
0
0-1
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 31.2
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
1.9
0
0-0
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.3
35.3
31.6
16
67%
3
4
3
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
49%
2-5
40%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
35.1
35.1
18
33%
11
0
0
1
1
0
0
11
1-3
33%
7-19
6-13
37%
48%
1-7
14%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.5
35.0
24.6
18
82%
4
0
0
1
3
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-7
4-7
86%
48%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
21.6
33.7
13
57%
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
5-10
8-16
50%
47%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
11.5
18.4
0
0%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.3
31.2
21.2
15
61%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
2-5
40%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.8
20.4
19.7
9
65%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.3
18.2
14.8
7
47%
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.8
16.5
8.6
10
67%
7
2
0
0
3
1
2
5
1-1
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
15.2
18.9
4
40%
7
3
0
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.8
8.5
0
1-1
47%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.9
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.