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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Heat38%99100
15Bulls62%10388
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.7
37.4
17.4
20
84%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
9-11
3-5
82%
55%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.7
34.3
35.4
26
64%
5
11
3
1
0
5
1
4
1-1
100%
11-16
5-11
69%
51%
1-4
25%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
34.0
32.3
19
47%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
3-13
5-11
23%
44%
3-5
60%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
27.9
22.8
9
92%
4
0
3
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
16.1
17.5
3
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
30.8
24.7
6
19%
9
9
1
1
1
3
4
5
0-1
0%
3-13
3-5
23%
55%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
27.4
30.9
14
44%
4
2
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
21.5
17.7
3
75%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.6
10.6
2.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
26.8
1
6-10
58%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.7
11.3
0
1-3
48%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
9.7
0
1-2
46%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.8
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.8
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
27.4
19.5
14
57%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
26.2
26.8
14
81%
5
2
1
1
4
2
2
3
6-6
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.1
23.9
20.2
9
65%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.8
17.8
26.9
7
54%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
13.8
15.5
6
47%
1
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
2-3
67%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.4
33.4
36.9
3
11%
3
2
0
2
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-11
6-12
9%
50%
0-2
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.9
31.7
12.7
13
81%
7
7
3
1
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
47%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.0
28.0
29.3
15
40%
6
3
2
1
0
4
1
5
3-4
75%
6-17
7-14
35%
49%
0-0
-
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.6
23.1
17.7
6
61%
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
0-2
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.0
14.7
18.9
1
17%
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-2
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
9.8
0
1-3
46%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.2
5.6
0
0-1
46%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.0
5.3
0
1-1
49%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.