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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Wizards48%103112
14Hawks52%10486
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.7
33.0
31.9
21
85%
12
4
0
1
2
0
1
11
2-3
67%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
5-7
71%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
30.4
36.1
19
48%
6
9
0
2
0
4
1
5
4-6
67%
6-15
7-15
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
28.7
29.3
15
84%
11
2
3
1
2
1
5
6
1-2
50%
7-8
4-7
88%
56%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.6
26.3
33.4
15
56%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
2-7
29%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
24.8
34.5
15
55%
9
1
2
1
1
5
5
4
5-6
83%
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
2-4
50%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
29.9
25.1
4
18%
1
2
3
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-5
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.2
19.3
10.6
9
64%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
1-3
33%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.2
17.9
9.6
9
90%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.9
14.2
16.7
2
41%
3
0
1
0
2
3
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
8.6
5.6
3
75%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-2
50%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
5.4
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
1.5
1.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.2
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.1
29.2
30.1
12
70%
13
1
2
1
0
3
4
9
4-8
50%
4-5
5-8
80%
61%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.0
23.4
33.6
4
23%
4
1
1
2
1
1
0
4
2-4
50%
1-5
5-10
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.4
22.5
30.6
9
38%
0
5
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
6-12
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.6
20.7
28.5
15
52%
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1-1
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
16.2
28.7
2
35%
2
1
0
2
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
23.1
18.0
4
26%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.9
22.4
26.8
12
51%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
2-4
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.4
20.9
12.3
7
44%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
17.0
12.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
13.8
11.1
8
80%
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
2-2
100%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
12.0
4.3
2
25%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.5
10.8
6.4
11
80%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
52%
1-2
50%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.6
8.0
3.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.3
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.