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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings34%102109
12Hornets66%108106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.4
34.8
33.1
17
74%
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
0
1-1
100%
5-5
4-8
100%
50%
2-6
33%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.5
34.2
33.8
35
67%
18
4
0
1
1
2
7
11
7-9
78%
11-20
7-15
55%
48%
2-2
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
30.6
29.9
13
67%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.7
24.4
30.3
7
40%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
12.1
20.3
3
39%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.2
31.6
19.6
5
36%
0
9
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
30.1
22.4
14
78%
7
3
2
0
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
4-8
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.9
14.9
18.5
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
14.4
14.6
13
74%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
6-7
2-4
86%
54%
0-0
-
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.1
12.7
7.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
3.4
0
0-1
48%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.9
2.1
0
0-0
49%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.6
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.1
39.7
34.7
19
74%
7
7
0
1
0
6
1
6
4-4
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
3-6
50%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.7
39.0
35.0
26
67%
3
7
1
1
1
1
1
2
7-8
88%
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.6
31.2
28.3
14
54%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
49%
2-8
25%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.3
18.6
33.3
9
67%
6
0
1
1
4
0
1
5
3-4
75%
3-5
4-9
60%
50%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.1
12.1
16.2
6
104%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.8
28.3
19.3
12
77%
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.8
28.0
22.2
7
35%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
1-7
14%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.8
22.3
21.1
8
40%
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-8
25%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
20.8
14.0
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.7
6.7
0
1-2
53%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.3
2.3
0
0-1
51%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 31.2
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.3
1.8
0
0-0
53%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.