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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons54%102103
25Heat46%101116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
35.7
35.6
14
61%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
7-9
4-8
78%
48%
0-2
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.5
35.2
28.7
17
52%
21
1
3
1
2
1
8
13
1-3
33%
8-14
5-10
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
34.1
27.9
5
23%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
48%
1-4
25%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.8
30.9
31.6
24
67%
7
3
0
1
0
4
0
7
2-2
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
48%
2-2
100%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.7
24.4
20.8
8
74%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
4-4
3-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
27.9
30.0
16
67%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
53%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.6
17.1
14.4
8
44%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
45%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.7
15.7
13.8
7
79%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
12.8
15.0
2
35%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
6.3
21.2
2
25%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.5
3.9
0
1-1
54%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.6
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.0
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
34.4
32.4
17
41%
3
7
0
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
6-10
5-11
60%
44%
1-9
11%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.7
33.3
34.4
23
67%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-7
71%
6-12
6-11
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
29.1
18.0
9
46%
12
0
0
0
2
2
4
8
1-2
50%
4-9
4-6
44%
58%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
26.3
24.6
12
68%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
13.5
16.9
9
150%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
3-3
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
33.6
28.9
19
95%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
5-7
71%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
31.9
26.9
18
61%
8
5
2
1
1
0
0
8
4-4
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
54%
0-1
0%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
19.0
19.0
7
90%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.7
18.9
25.2
2
50%
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.7
10.1
0
1-3
48%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
9.9
0
1-2
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.6
6.4
0
1-1
47%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.8
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.8
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.