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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Celtics48%106112
16Bucks52%107108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.0
40.6
31.0
37
74%
3
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
9-9
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
50%
6-11
55%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
38.3
30.7
20
64%
6
4
0
1
1
0
1
5
6-6
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
4-10
40%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.3
27.9
21.7
9
46%
8
1
2
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.7
24.7
16.1
11
74%
7
2
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-1
0%
4-6
2-3
67%
60%
1-1
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.9
17.9
22.1
0
0%
2
3
1
1
1
3
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.8
35.9
18.9
17
64%
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-3
67%
6-7
2-4
86%
53%
1-5
20%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
34.6
28.2
9
50%
4
5
0
1
1
4
0
4
5-7
71%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
16.9
19.1
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
14.9
10.0
4
29%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-2
0%
2-6
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.0
13.4
12.7
5
36%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
1-3
33%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
7.5
0
0-1
49%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.6
6.0
0
1-2
50%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.2
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.1
45.1
34.5
21
59%
7
6
0
1
1
2
0
7
3-4
75%
6-13
8-14
46%
56%
2-3
67%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.2
33.0
26.6
12
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
4-5
80%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
31.1
35.3
4
15%
8
1
0
1
0
3
4
4
0-0
-
2-10
7-12
20%
53%
0-3
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.4
28.1
24.8
14
73%
2
6
1
1
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
1-2
50%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 19.9
10.4
5.8
4
40%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
54%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
35.1
21.3
14
50%
13
1
3
1
3
1
3
10
6-9
67%
4-10
5-9
40%
52%
0-0
-
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
32.4
26.5
11
41%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
0-3
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
22.4
8.0
17
78%
8
1
0
0
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
6-9
2-3
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.4
20.0
11.1
3
25%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
1-4
25%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 26.1
7.5
8.4
8
72%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
6-8
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.5
14.6
0
1-2
41%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.4
13.8
0
2-3
53%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.4
11.1
0
1-1
48%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.5
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.