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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Clippers16%10398
1Warriors84%116144
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
37.9
35.2
10
37%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-6
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
1-4
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 32.6
26.0
31.6
13
73%
1
0
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
3-5
60%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.5
23.4
31.9
8
75%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-3
0%
4-4
5-7
100%
66%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 27.9
22.7
32.7
20
65%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
9-13
8-15
69%
49%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.4
11.8
22.9
5
51%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 36.9
29.9
27.8
5
36%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 32.6
27.9
24.1
10
39%
7
5
0
1
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
2-5
40%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
19.4
15.5
5
42%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
15.0
13.9
9
65%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.3
10.8
4.7
6
75%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
10.3
15.6
3
38%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Diamond Stone
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.0
4.9
1.3
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 39.3
3.2
0
0-0
45%
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.6
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
28.9
33.7
43
87%
9
6
0
2
0
2
0
9
4-4
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
54%
9-15
60%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.3
28.7
33.1
23
97%
4
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
6-7
6-11
86%
57%
3-4
75%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
26.6
33.0
16
70%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
2-3
67%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
25.7
34.8
5
43%
5
5
2
2
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.0
14.4
18.4
4
67%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.0
23.8
27.5
9
65%
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
1-3
33%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.1
19.1
10.4
10
63%
4
1
1
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
54%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.3
18.1
12.6
5
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.4
15.6
18.5
8
67%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.9
12.0
9.0
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
12.0
4.2
4
50%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
56%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
10.2
8.0
9
83%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
59%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.3
4.9
1.9
3
80%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.6
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.