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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Grizzlies32%95102
5Jazz68%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.0
36.7
37.2
18
75%
4
5
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
6-13
43%
47%
4-5
80%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
28.3
34.4
23
77%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-7
4-9
86%
45%
3-7
43%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.0
26.2
32.2
6
38%
4
1
2
2
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.6
25.7
20.1
9
57%
4
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
22.6
23.6
8
82%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
33.6
30.3
28
64%
9
1
1
1
0
1
3
6
4-4
100%
12-19
6-13
63%
46%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.0
29.6
24.8
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
18.9
4.3
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.3
18.3
15.5
4
50%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.3
15.3
0
2-3
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
5.2
0
1-1
59%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.8
4.2
0
0-1
42%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.2
3.6
0
0-1
49%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.7
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
38.2
32.7
15
84%
10
2
1
1
1
1
3
7
9-9
100%
3-5
5-7
60%
61%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 26.9
36.3
32.4
14
44%
7
5
0
1
1
1
1
6
6-7
86%
4-10
4-9
40%
50%
0-3
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.7
33.4
31.7
16
60%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
1-5
20%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 24.3
30.6
26.5
20
78%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
4-6
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.2
20.7
16.8
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 35.6
27.4
17.2
8
57%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.8
17.5
17.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 25.5
15.7
17.1
15
98%
2
0
0
0
0
5
0
2
5-6
83%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
2-2
100%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.3
15.3
24.1
5
133%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
1-1
100%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.5
4.8
5.9
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.8
6.0
0
1-1
51%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.9
1.2
0
0-0
54%
Joel Bolomboy
· 6'9" 235 · 23.0
0.5
0
0-0
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.5
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.