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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2017
3:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Knicks44%103139
21Hawks56%105142
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.4
53.3
24.7
18
51%
3
11
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
1-7
2-4
14%
43%
4-8
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.3
52.3
32.4
17
50%
9
2
2
1
1
1
2
7
2-2
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
48%
3-8
38%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
46.1
34.6
45
58%
6
4
0
1
1
3
0
6
6-7
86%
15-27
6-14
56%
47%
3-9
33%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
40.7
15.6
6
51%
14
5
3
0
2
1
7
7
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.5
30.1
28.4
15
49%
5
1
0
1
3
2
3
2
3-3
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
0-3
0%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.3
36.2
16.1
13
45%
4
4
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-6
2-3
67%
50%
1-7
14%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.8
36.0
19.7
15
50%
9
2
1
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
5-13
38%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.8
25.8
11.8
2
11%
12
1
1
0
3
1
2
10
0-0
-
1-9
2-4
11%
53%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.8
16.2
6.2
8
100%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
3.2
17.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
10.4
0
1-1
51%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.6
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.9
2.2
0
0-0
41%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.0
60.1
29.4
37
55%
19
7
1
1
0
3
8
11
8-10
80%
10-21
4-9
48%
51%
3-8
38%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.9
57.9
24.8
19
38%
5
8
1
1
0
1
0
5
9-12
75%
5-11
3-6
45%
53%
0-9
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.4
54.7
27.3
23
41%
4
15
0
1
0
6
1
3
4-7
57%
8-21
5-10
38%
51%
1-4
25%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.6
49.7
25.2
24
76%
10
0
0
1
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.1
38.1
29.2
19
67%
12
1
0
1
1
2
4
8
3-7
43%
8-11
5-7
73%
62%
0-0
-
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
22.1
19.7
4
29%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.4
21.8
15.3
12
100%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
21.7
12.3
2
33%
8
2
0
0
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
9.8
14.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
4.1
7.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.5
8.5
0
1-1
53%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25.5
5.9
0
0-1
50%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.6
5.5
0
1-1
52%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.