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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2017
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Wizards51%106107
17Pelicans49%10594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.6
38.8
30.1
27
78%
6
2
1
1
0
4
0
6
2-3
67%
8-10
4-8
80%
48%
3-6
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
37.2
29.8
21
53%
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
6-17
4-9
35%
48%
3-3
100%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
37.1
33.4
18
43%
1
19
2
2
1
3
0
1
2-4
50%
8-16
7-14
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.7
34.4
31.9
13
65%
6
0
4
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
3-5
60%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
30.7
28.6
17
69%
11
2
1
1
0
2
3
8
3-3
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
57%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
24.5
26.7
2
25%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.9
17.3
15.4
4
50%
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.2
10.9
14.2
5
50%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.3
9.2
13.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
7.1
0
0-1
48%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.7
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
1.4
0
0-0
51%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.2
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 23.9
39.9
27.2
36
65%
17
3
3
1
2
6
2
15
5-6
83%
14-23
7-14
61%
53%
1-2
50%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.9
39.4
29.1
7
35%
3
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
2-7
29%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
38.9
33.6
26
68%
4
11
1
2
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-12
4-9
58%
48%
4-7
57%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.8
21.3
27.2
5
63%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 23.1
16.4
17.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.9
22.5
21.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 26.4
22.4
18.0
10
68%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-3
0%
5-5
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
17.7
19.3
2
26%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.1
11.2
15.1
6
75%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-4
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 25.1
10.3
25.5
2
15%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-4
5-9
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 28.7
3.7
0
1-1
50%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.6
3.3
0
0-0
51%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 20.4
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.