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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2017
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Magic23%100114
6Raptors77%110113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.9
35.5
29.1
11
37%
4
10
2
1
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
4-10
5-10
40%
48%
0-3
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.8
33.8
26.8
15
74%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
41%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
33.3
25.3
25
67%
10
5
0
1
4
2
2
8
4-4
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
50%
3-4
75%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
33.1
24.4
12
55%
7
1
0
0
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
0-3
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
26.1
27.7
7
44%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.2
28.9
14.7
21
86%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
4-5
1-2
80%
43%
3-5
60%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.4
27.2
21.5
16
82%
3
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
2-3
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.4
14.7
21.4
4
52%
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-2
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.6
7.3
14.6
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.9
18.1
1
2-3
46%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.3
8.9
0
1-3
49%
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 24.3
7.9
0
0-1
42%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.1
0.9
0
0-0
47%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.9
38.4
37.0
33
71%
5
8
1
2
0
4
1
4
9-12
75%
3-9
4-8
33%
51%
6-9
67%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
36.3
34.0
22
48%
7
6
0
1
0
1
1
6
10-11
91%
6-17
9-19
35%
49%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.9
29.3
21.3
7
66%
10
1
0
1
1
1
3
7
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
27.7
26.0
12
73%
9
3
0
1
0
1
1
8
4-5
80%
4-6
5-8
67%
57%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.5
17.5
25.3
7
39%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
0-5
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.0
28.4
22.8
17
81%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
4-7
57%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
18.1
26.7
3
25%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
12.8
27.9
4
52%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
11.6
24.2
4
100%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
64%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
10.5
7.7
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.9
6.8
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.9
2.7
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.3
2.9
0
0-0
54%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.