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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2676ers38%98108
15Bulls62%102121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
37.3
33.8
21
61%
12
3
3
2
3
1
2
10
1-3
33%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
4-7
57%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
36.6
27.8
14
50%
4
12
1
2
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
7-13
3-6
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
35.0
23.7
31
68%
11
1
1
1
0
3
5
6
7-9
78%
9-12
3-6
75%
49%
2-7
29%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
33.3
25.6
15
54%
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
47%
3-6
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
25.0
22.1
12
55%
6
2
2
1
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
51%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
22.3
10.2
4
25%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-3
25%
55%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.8
16.4
21.2
6
44%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
14.2
13.0
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.1
8.6
22.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.6
6.3
18.1
3
75%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-2
50%
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
5.1
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
17.6
1
4-7
51%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.1
8.6
0
2-3
52%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.5
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.4
38.6
35.1
28
57%
8
7
4
2
0
3
2
6
12-15
80%
8-18
6-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.8
31.4
23.1
21
73%
9
2
0
0
3
0
4
5
3-3
100%
9-13
4-7
69%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.0
26.3
28.3
14
54%
6
6
3
1
0
4
2
4
2-2
100%
6-12
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
17.1
14.7
5
63%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.0
14.0
4.6
4
33%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
29.4
22.1
13
81%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.0
25.9
17.3
13
65%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
49%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.9
21.2
19.7
8
37%
5
10
0
1
1
0
0
5
3-4
75%
1-7
2-4
14%
48%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.1
19.9
21.5
14
71%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.6
16.2
19.5
1
57%
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
8.1
0
1-2
46%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.2
4.9
0
0-1
46%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.7
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.