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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Mavericks21%91105
1Spurs79%102101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.4
36.9
30.5
24
60%
10
5
1
1
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
46%
4-9
44%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 23.7
35.6
4.5
9
46%
2
7
2
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
40%
1-4
25%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
35.4
34.2
19
46%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
7-16
7-14
44%
48%
1-4
25%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
30.9
13.4
17
72%
7
3
2
0
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
4-5
1-2
80%
44%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.6
28.2
16.2
15
61%
10
0
0
0
4
2
2
8
3-3
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.9
18.9
18.6
7
51%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.7
17.2
29.6
5
46%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
10.0
13.9
4
106%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.2
8.1
17.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.6
7.7
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
6.5
17.0
5
63%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.9
4.5
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.6
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
37.1
24.8
24
58%
7
2
1
1
1
4
1
6
7-8
88%
4-10
5-9
40%
55%
3-7
43%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
34.0
30.5
16
45%
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
5
6-9
67%
5-14
6-13
36%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
30.7
29.5
7
58%
4
5
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.7
22.7
16.7
16
64%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
8-12
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.2
16.9
14.7
6
55%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
60%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
25.5
24.9
14
78%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
7-9
4-7
78%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.5
23.7
15.3
10
57%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-4
25%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
21.4
22.9
6
30%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
14.0
20.6
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
14.0
14.1
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.4
12.1
0
2-4
51%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
5.8
0
0-1
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
4.9
0
0-1
52%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.4
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.