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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 30, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Nets33%10396
25Heat67%110104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
31.2
25.6
16
56%
6
1
0
0
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
1-4
25%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 28.8
30.7
23.2
14
36%
3
3
1
1
2
1
2
1
4-6
67%
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
0-6
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 29.2
25.9
14.8
13
58%
8
0
2
1
1
4
2
6
3-5
60%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
0-1
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.8
24.4
25.5
10
57%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 33.4
21.2
22.5
5
36%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 22.4
26.8
18.1
4
25%
6
2
2
1
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 21.9
23.6
22.9
13
54%
4
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
44%
1-3
33%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 22.1
22.3
17.3
4
52%
11
2
1
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
17.0
17.4
9
90%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
1-2
50%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 27.1
16.8
25.0
8
58%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.3
13.9
0
1-3
53%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.8
10.1
0
1-2
47%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.0
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 25.4
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
35.8
32.6
19
48%
5
9
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-4
50%
4-12
5-11
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.7
32.8
33.5
20
56%
3
8
3
1
0
1
1
2
7-11
64%
5-11
6-11
45%
54%
1-2
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
31.5
24.8
13
72%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
30.1
22.1
12
60%
9
0
1
1
3
4
1
8
0-0
-
6-10
5-8
60%
60%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
7.2
15.5
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
33.1
28.2
17
67%
5
5
2
1
3
3
1
4
3-4
75%
4-8
4-7
50%
56%
2-3
67%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.7
19.2
9.4
3
19%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
18.4
29.8
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.7
17.4
22.5
6
100%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
4-6
100%
59%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
14.5
18.7
7
72%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
9.7
0
1-2
49%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.6
4.9
0
0-1
49%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
3.1
0
0-1
52%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.9
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.8
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.