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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 31, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Knicks36%103101
9Wizards64%108117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.4
37.7
29.2
21
50%
5
2
4
1
0
4
2
3
9-11
82%
3-10
2-4
30%
43%
2-6
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
31.6
33.3
26
68%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
9-14
7-14
64%
47%
1-3
33%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
31.5
11.2
15
53%
14
4
0
0
0
1
6
8
5-5
100%
5-12
2-3
42%
53%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.3
27.3
33.4
5
25%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
48%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
15.3
20.6
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.8
27.9
8.7
5
34%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-3
33%
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.8
19.7
21.6
5
23%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
0-4
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.9
17.1
14.3
13
62%
10
1
0
0
2
1
6
4
1-1
100%
6-10
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.3
14.4
19.7
1
9%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.6
8.1
2.3
7
70%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
4.7
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.9
4.7
2.1
3
40%
0
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.5
25.3
1
4-8
48%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
34.1
32.3
24
76%
10
2
0
1
0
2
2
8
4-4
100%
7-9
5-10
78%
50%
2-5
40%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
34.0
34.4
15
39%
4
13
0
2
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
5-16
7-14
31%
49%
1-2
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.6
31.9
33.3
28
74%
2
4
1
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
10-12
4-9
83%
50%
2-6
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
30.8
29.1
15
101%
10
2
1
1
1
1
0
10
1-1
100%
7-7
4-8
100%
58%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.7
29.1
32.4
10
53%
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
5-6
3-5
83%
57%
0-3
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
28.4
25.3
14
89%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
2-4
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.2
19.1
12.5
4
33%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.9
15.0
15.9
2
50%
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.3
11.0
11.4
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
53%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
2.2
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
2.2
2.7
1
57%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
2.2
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.7
4.4
0
0-1
48%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.2
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.