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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 31, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings20%10583
3Rockets80%117105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
26.9
31.3
9
44%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.4
26.2
29.5
5
25%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-8
4-7
13%
50%
1-2
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.5
25.2
32.9
16
42%
7
5
0
1
0
2
1
6
5-7
71%
4-12
7-15
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.7
18.2
30.0
3
38%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
16.5
17.2
12
81%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-1
0%
6-7
2-4
86%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.9
29.7
18.9
5
31%
11
3
0
1
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
24.1
16.5
10
46%
5
2
0
1
3
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
55%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
21.8
23.1
10
81%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
2-5
40%
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
2-3
67%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.1
19.3
8.0
8
37%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
1-1
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
12.0
3.1
2
33%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.2
11.7
24.4
0
0%
2
1
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.9
8.5
2.1
3
40%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.5
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.6
32.3
31.5
5
25%
5
5
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
1-6
17%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
31.7
34.2
10
46%
7
8
1
1
0
5
0
7
4-4
100%
3-4
5-9
75%
54%
0-5
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
27.4
31.7
25
71%
11
3
1
1
0
1
3
8
5-8
63%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
6-12
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.6
27.3
32.1
7
51%
9
4
1
2
0
0
0
9
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
20.0
20.7
12
59%
11
1
0
1
0
2
4
7
2-5
40%
5-8
5-8
63%
62%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
28.3
19.6
17
53%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
3-10
30%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
18.3
24.7
3
38%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
60%
1-3
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.9
17.4
12.6
5
83%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
14.6
18.3
7
90%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
64%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.4
13.3
11.5
11
74%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
57%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.0
4.4
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.4
2.5
1.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
1-2
50%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.4
2.4
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
34%
0-2
0%
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.2
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.