Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Nuggets	52%	113	116	119.6	97	100.8
	29	Lakers	48%	112	120	121.2	99	95.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	36.5	9	30%	5	7	0	1	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-13	23%	1-2	50%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	35.6	17	57%	2	3	1	0	2	2	0	2	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 22	32.0	17	71%	4	4	4	0	4	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-4	75%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	28.4	14	47%	17	1	2	0	1	3	6	11	4-6	67%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	12.3	1	6%	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	0-7	0%	0-0	-

Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	35.7	26	65%	9	4	2	1	0	3	4	5	2-2	100%	6-14	43%	4-6	67%
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	27.4	14	58%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-8	50%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 29	19.6	10	56%	6	3	1	2	3	2	4	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	12.4	8	133%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	\| DND - Left ankle soreness.
Johnny O'Bryant III F-C · 6'9" 257 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Emmanuel Mudiay #0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	52%	51	26	12	5	11	0	20	31	19-23	83%	26-72	36%	15-27	56%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	36.5	9	30%	5	7	0	1	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-13	23%	1-2	50%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	35.6	17	57%	2	3	1	0	2	2	0	2	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 22	32.0	17	71%	4	4	4	0	4	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-4	75%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	28.4	14	47%	17	1	2	0	1	3	6	11	4-6	67%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	12.3	1	6%	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	0-7	0%	0-0	-

Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	35.7	26	65%	9	4	2	1	0	3	4	5	2-2	100%	6-14	43%	4-6	67%
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	27.4	14	58%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-8	50%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 29	19.6	10	56%	6	3	1	2	3	2	4	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	12.4	8	133%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	\| DND - Left ankle soreness.
Johnny O'Bryant III F-C · 6'9" 257 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Emmanuel Mudiay #0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	52%	51	26	12	5	11	0	20	31	19-23	83%	26-72	36%	15-27	56%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D'Angelo Russell G · 6'3" 193 · 21	34.1	22	52%	7	10	1	1	2	1	1	6	6-8	75%	5-10	50%	2-7	29%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 32	30.6	7	39%	4	1	1	2	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Nick Young G · 6'7" 210 · 32	29.5	23	77%	4	3	1	0	1	2	0	4	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	5-8	63%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 31	22.5	12	86%	6	0	0	3	1	3	1	5	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Tarik Black F · 6'9" 250 · 25	18.0	6	60%	8	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 30	24.1	21	88%	5	7	2	0	1	0	1	4	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	4-5	80%
Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 25	21.5	6	43%	3	2	1	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Ivica Zubac C · 7'0" 240 · 20	21.1	17	94%	6	1	0	0	1	4	3	3	1-1	100%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Brandon Ingram F · 6'8" 190 · 19	20.6	4	25%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Larry Nance Jr. F-C · 6'6" 245 · 24	17.9	2	33%	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcelo Huertas G · 6'3" 200 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Robinson F · 6'10" 237 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julius Randle #30 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Metta World Peace #37 · F · 6'7" 260 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	61%	44	25	7	10	15	0	10	34	14-18	78%	35-63	56%	12-26	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.3%

LAL

1.22 61.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

13

37

35%

LAL

23

37

62%

Midrange

DEN

13

35

37%

LAL

12

26

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

15

22.5

27

56%

83%

LAL

12

18.0

26

46%

69%

Free Throws

DEN

19

23

83%

LAL

14

18

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Chandler	26	65%	13.0 / 20
D. Gallinari	17	57%	8.5 / 15
G. Harris	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Faried	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Murray	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Arthur	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Nelson	9	30%	4.5 / 15
J. Hernangomez	8	133%	4.0 / 3
J. Nurkić	1	6%	0.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Young	23	77%	11.5 / 15
D. Russell	22	52%	11.0 / 21
L. Williams	21	88%	10.5 / 12
I. Zubac	17	94%	8.5 / 9
T. Mozgov	12	86%	6.0 / 7
L. Deng	7	39%	3.5 / 9
T. Black	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Clarkson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Ingram	4	25%	2.0 / 8
L. Nance	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 113.2 23 106.5	DEN 119.6 LAL 121.2 +1.6
Pace	6 98.4 7 98.2	DEN 100.8 +5.4 LAL 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.4 24 14.4	DEN 14.3 −0.8 LAL 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 53.0% 22 50.1%	DEN 49.0% LAL 59.6% +10.6%
TO %	23 14.7% 25 14.8%	DEN 9.2% −4.2% LAL 13.4%
ORB %	2 27.3% 7 25.0%	DEN 37.0% +12.6% LAL 24.4%
FTrt	13 27.6 22 25.9	DEN 23.2 +3.0 LAL 20.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 61.5% 26 53.2%	DEN 63.4% +10.2% LAL 53.2%
STL %	29 7.0% 11 8.3%	DEN 12.4% +5.3% LAL 7.1%
BLK %	30 6.3% 27 6.7%	DEN 7.9% LAL 13.9% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 55.4% 23 52.7%	DEN 52.3% LAL 61.2% +8.9%
Rim FG%	11 59.4% 23 58.1%	DEN 35.1% LAL 62.2% +27.1%
Mid FG%	19 40.2% 28 39.1%	DEN 37.1% LAL 46.2% +9.1%
3P %	11 36.8% 22 34.6%	DEN 55.6% +9.4% LAL 46.2%
FT %	17 77.4% 21 75.5%	DEN 82.6% +4.8% LAL 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.9% 6 38.0%	DEN 37.4% LAL 41.6% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	4 26.2% 14 32.5%	DEN 35.4% LAL 29.2% −6.1%
3P Att. %	10 32.9% 19 29.5%	DEN 27.3% LAL 29.2% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	97	99
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	116	120
Rebounds	51	44
Assists	26	25
Steals	12	7
Blocks	5	10
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	20 (4)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	34 (2)
Field Goals	41-99	47-89
At-the-Rim FG	13-37	23-37
Midrange FG	13-35	12-26
2-Point FG	26-72	35-63
3-Point FG	15-27	12-26
Free Throws	19-23	14-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg