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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 31, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nuggets53%113116
29Lakers47%112120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
36.5
31.9
9
30%
5
7
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-13
2-5
23%
48%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
35.6
33.8
17
56%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
7-7
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
32.0
29.3
17
72%
4
4
4
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
53%
3-4
75%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
28.4
27.9
14
48%
17
1
2
1
0
1
6
11
4-6
67%
5-12
5-8
42%
56%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.4
12.3
10.8
1
6%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-7
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
35.7
25.2
26
62%
9
4
2
1
1
0
4
5
2-2
100%
6-14
3-7
43%
51%
4-6
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.9
27.4
17.1
14
58%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
4-8
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
19.6
16.4
10
56%
6
3
1
1
2
3
4
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
12.4
4.4
8
139%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
2-2
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
23.0
1
3-5
49%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
6.5
0
1-2
44%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
1.8
0
0-0
40%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
34.1
13.4
22
54%
7
10
1
1
1
2
1
6
6-8
75%
5-10
2-4
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.8
30.6
23.4
7
39%
4
1
1
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.7
29.5
27.8
23
74%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
5-8
63%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 30.5
22.5
16.3
12
89%
6
0
0
0
3
1
1
5
4-4
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
0-0
-
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
18.0
19.2
6
55%
8
0
1
0
1
2
4
4
0-1
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.3
24.1
24.6
21
85%
5
7
2
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 24.7
21.5
31.6
6
43%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.9
21.1
22.0
17
90%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-1
100%
8-9
4-8
89%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 19.4
20.6
23.7
4
25%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.1
17.9
17.8
2
33%
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
58%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.3
13.1
0
1-2
48%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.7
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.9
2.6
0
0-1
49%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 37.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.