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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors41%105104
7Celtics59%109109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.9
37.9
38.0
32
71%
2
5
2
2
0
3
0
2
4-6
67%
8-9
4-8
89%
48%
4-11
36%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.5
37.7
26.6
6
38%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
32.4
27.5
12
67%
5
2
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-7
3-7
86%
48%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.9
20.7
27.2
10
61%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-5
60%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
11.8
27.7
3
80%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
5-9
100%
54%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
28.5
19.8
10
87%
5
0
1
1
4
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
62%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
23.2
22.8
8
38%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-10
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.0
22.8
23.1
6
28%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-2
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.9
15.6
6.5
13
64%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-5
40%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
1-3
33%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.3
9.4
2.8
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
8.6
0
1-2
51%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.9
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.0
37.9
33.6
44
76%
4
7
0
1
0
3
0
4
15-16
94%
7-10
6-11
70%
51%
5-12
42%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
33.9
32.6
14
47%
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
3-4
75%
4-9
2-5
44%
54%
1-4
25%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
31.8
32.4
11
40%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-8
38%
55%
1-5
20%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.3
22.7
20.4
8
46%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
4-6
67%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.8
14.5
16.9
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
60%
1-1
100%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
34.8
29.1
10
42%
5
5
2
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
1-5
20%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
22.6
15.0
5
36%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.9
19.5
21.2
6
43%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
2-5
40%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
16.2
7.7
4
67%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.0
6.1
12.8
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.8
22.1
1
2-4
55%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
4.0
0
0-0
50%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.6
3.5
0
1-1
52%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.2
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.