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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pelicans38%10298
15Pistons62%106118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 23.9
40.8
33.9
31
58%
12
2
2
1
4
5
2
10
5-6
83%
13-23
9-17
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
35.3
35.6
22
60%
3
11
2
2
1
4
1
2
2-3
67%
10-14
5-10
71%
47%
0-3
0%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.9
35.0
27.5
9
56%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
3-6
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 25.1
27.1
23.8
11
58%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
51%
0-0
-
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 23.1
21.4
22.0
5
36%
6
1
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
1-6
17%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.9
28.3
23.8
9
56%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.8
21.8
16.8
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
18.3
12.4
9
51%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 26.4
12.1
20.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
51%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.1
15.6
1
1-2
41%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.3
6.8
0
1-1
45%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 28.7
4.1
0
1-1
49%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.6
3.0
0
0-0
49%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 20.4
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.0
38.5
32.8
38
88%
4
1
4
1
0
2
0
4
6-8
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
8-11
73%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
34.1
34.2
7
39%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.5
25.8
35.6
17
61%
6
0
3
2
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
8-13
7-13
62%
55%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.8
20.7
28.8
6
38%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
5-11
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.7
17.1
23.9
2
14%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-3
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
27.6
28.5
19
71%
8
4
1
1
0
1
0
8
1-1
100%
9-11
4-8
82%
55%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.6
27.3
17.1
15
86%
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
5-5
2-5
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.7
24.7
16.5
4
29%
5
6
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
46%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
18.9
7.8
8
80%
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
5.3
10.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.5
2.5
0
1-1
56%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.6
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.1
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.