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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies63%109119
25Nuggets37%10599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.1
30.1
25.7
4
25%
3
0
2
2
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
26.7
32.1
18
60%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
49%
2-7
29%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.6
26.4
24.4
8
44%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.0
24.2
33.3
24
74%
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
5
3-3
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
50%
3-4
75%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.3
21.7
15.1
6
38%
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.0
26.3
26.2
14
90%
5
6
0
1
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
3-3
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
21.4
27.9
14
58%
6
2
0
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
7-11
6-13
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.3
21.3
13.9
8
52%
0
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
2-3
67%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
19.8
24.0
13
89%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
3-3
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
2-4
50%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
6.3
9.2
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
2-3
67%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
5.2
6.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
63%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
5.2
5.0
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.2
5.2
2.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.7
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
29.6
34.2
14
45%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
6-8
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
0-3
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
27.5
27.8
11
85%
11
1
1
1
0
3
5
6
1-1
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
54%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
24.7
30.1
12
123%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
52%
2-2
100%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.4
18.8
11.8
4
35%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
3.8
33.2
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.9
32.4
21.5
9
27%
4
2
3
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-9
2-4
22%
46%
1-7
14%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
25.6
22.8
14
49%
6
7
0
1
0
2
2
4
6-10
60%
4-9
2-5
44%
41%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
25.0
29.8
4
31%
3
4
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-1
0%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
15.5
17.9
14
71%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
4-7
57%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
15.1
8.7
8
74%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
8.3
1.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-1
0%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
7.3
4.9
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
6.3
1.2
7
122%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.