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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 3, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bulls29%104117
3Rockets71%112121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.8
40.5
23.2
7
39%
11
2
0
0
2
0
4
7
1-2
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.0
36.1
25.4
19
42%
9
6
0
1
0
4
0
9
1-1
100%
6-18
6-13
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
36.1
24.5
20
70%
6
3
1
1
1
2
3
3
2-3
67%
9-12
4-8
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
35.1
8.0
23
60%
9
6
0
0
1
1
2
7
1-3
33%
11-15
1-2
73%
45%
0-3
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
17.5
20.2
7
72%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
29.0
23.6
11
51%
3
1
2
0
2
2
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
1-6
17%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.1
21.4
17.5
12
61%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.9
19.9
18.0
3
30%
5
6
2
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.0
16.9
20.0
11
59%
7
3
2
1
0
0
0
7
2-3
67%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.6
7.2
20.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.0
5.2
8.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.4
32.8
1
6-12
49%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.7
5.8
0
0-1
41%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
43.7
34.9
42
54%
12
9
1
1
1
2
1
11
11-14
79%
8-20
4-9
40%
52%
5-13
38%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.6
39.1
32.4
10
57%
6
1
3
2
0
0
0
6
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-6
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
33.4
30.6
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-6
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.6
32.2
30.9
9
53%
7
7
2
1
0
3
0
7
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
31.6
24.5
14
88%
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
7-8
5-9
88%
61%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
33.7
26.0
21
62%
1
4
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
5-10
50%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
21.4
11.9
8
51%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
62%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
17.5
18.1
8
67%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
2-3
67%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.9
12.4
13.3
9
77%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
1-2
80%
50%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.4
14.5
1
2-4
55%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.0
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.4
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.4
1.5
0
0-0
31%
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.3
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.