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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 3, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks46%110117
18Nuggets54%111121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.2
35.0
36.6
23
78%
8
5
2
2
2
5
0
8
4-4
100%
8-10
8-14
80%
55%
1-3
33%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
34.9
31.8
27
61%
11
4
2
1
1
3
1
10
5-5
100%
8-13
6-11
62%
53%
2-7
29%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.4
31.0
24.9
4
40%
4
12
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 26.1
30.5
6.5
16
62%
5
0
1
0
4
0
0
5
2-2
100%
7-12
1-2
58%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.2
18.6
24.2
4
46%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.4
25.7
14.9
9
113%
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
3-4
75%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
23.9
28.4
7
47%
1
2
2
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
13.8
14.7
8
46%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
12.8
23.8
8
52%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
3-6
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.4
9.4
8.4
5
63%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 19.9
4.4
15.3
6
150%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
2-2
100%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.5
10.3
0
1-1
41%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.1
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.8
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
41.2
27.6
23
54%
8
3
2
1
4
2
3
5
13-17
76%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
0-5
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
32.3
31.5
20
63%
12
11
1
1
0
2
6
6
2-2
100%
6-11
7-12
55%
60%
2-4
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
29.9
22.0
6
44%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
27.2
27.6
14
54%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
2-6
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
25.3
27.3
19
72%
11
1
0
1
1
1
6
5
7-12
58%
6-8
5-8
75%
56%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
25.4
14.2
9
38%
2
4
2
0
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.9
20.8
25.0
18
75%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
7-7
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
18.1
23.5
2
20%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
17.0
16.8
10
56%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
2.9
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
14.3
1
3-5
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
4.1
0
0-0
42%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.