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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pistons39%10284
10Pacers61%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
33.8
35.1
19
70%
6
4
1
1
1
1
1
5
6-6
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
3-3
100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.0
31.7
35.1
4
22%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.5
31.3
30.0
13
64%
9
1
1
1
1
6
2
7
3-5
60%
5-8
6-12
63%
53%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.7
27.4
26.6
14
64%
6
1
0
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
53%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.8
26.9
25.8
7
32%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
22.6
25.5
8
37%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.6
21.1
20.9
4
40%
3
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.7
19.2
16.6
5
46%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.2
16.7
15.9
4
42%
4
0
0
0
3
0
2
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
9.3
5.9
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
2-3
67%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
3.6
0
0-1
44%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.5
2.7
0
1-1
53%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.6
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.1
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.8
32.1
35.2
21
73%
3
4
1
2
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
6-8
6-12
75%
48%
3-6
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28.0
32.1
18.0
18
57%
11
3
2
0
1
2
5
6
2-2
100%
8-15
1-3
53%
49%
0-0
-
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.9
31.7
29.4
13
49%
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
5
2-3
67%
4-9
5-9
44%
54%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.7
31.2
33.4
13
44%
2
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
48%
0-3
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
27.0
25.9
13
69%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
2-5
40%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
26.8
17.8
4
40%
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.3
23.8
21.3
3
22%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 32.1
16.8
9.9
5
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.1
13.6
14.3
13
66%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
1.6
2.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
1.6
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.6
1.6
1.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.2
3.1
0
1-1
49%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.