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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2976ers35%99102
20Heat65%104125
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
39.9
28.9
8
31%
4
6
2
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
0-4
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
28.3
30.1
11
85%
2
4
0
2
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
26.5
30.2
21
61%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-5
80%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.2
24.5
15.4
12
50%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
6-12
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
19.8
15.6
7
45%
7
2
2
1
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.8
26.8
26.1
4
19%
4
0
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
0-3
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
25.6
19.5
9
48%
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
2-3
67%
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
24.0
12.6
12
77%
9
2
1
0
0
2
2
7
4-4
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
12.4
9.1
8
60%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
6-6
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.7
12.2
14.6
10
71%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
2-2
100%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.1
20.1
0
4-8
51%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
18.7
1
1-3
47%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
8.7
0
2-4
51%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.5
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
28.0
31.1
16
65%
4
8
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
53%
2-2
100%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
26.8
26.9
30
82%
20
0
0
1
3
3
6
14
2-3
67%
14-17
6-10
82%
59%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
26.3
31.3
21
97%
1
7
2
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
5-11
50%
46%
5-6
83%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
24.8
14.8
8
68%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
15.4
27.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.7
33.8
21.6
16
64%
6
6
1
1
1
2
0
6
6-8
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
24.6
11.3
5
42%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
51%
1-2
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
16.0
25.1
11
74%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.0
15.6
26.5
10
85%
6
3
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-4
4-6
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.7
13.9
19.0
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
58%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
7.8
2.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.7
7.3
3.3
4
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
9.8
0
1-2
48%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.9
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.9
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.