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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Nuggets18%10197
2Spurs82%114121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
25.8
32.5
10
45%
2
1
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
2-6
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
24.9
27.4
8
44%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
21.8
24.9
8
50%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
15.4
31.5
11
61%
1
2
0
1
0
5
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
7-12
57%
57%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
14.4
26.5
4
52%
4
0
0
1
0
0
4
0
0-2
0%
2-3
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
24.7
18.8
6
33%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
23.7
10.0
9
46%
8
2
1
0
1
0
5
3
1-4
25%
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.9
23.1
23.1
20
78%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
43%
2-4
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
22.2
8.2
5
36%
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
20.4
21.6
6
28%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
39%
0-3
0%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
8.9
4.9
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
39%
1-1
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
8.9
2.6
5
83%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
5.8
3.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
31.8
29.5
19
58%
6
5
2
2
2
2
1
5
6-8
75%
5-7
6-12
71%
56%
1-6
17%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
27.6
29.5
12
51%
5
2
1
1
3
1
0
5
4-4
100%
4-10
7-13
40%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.7
23.0
22.9
18
101%
0
4
3
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
8-8
4-8
100%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
20.0
27.6
5
50%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
14.0
17.8
7
90%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.4
21.7
16.5
18
77%
4
2
0
1
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
6-9
2-4
67%
53%
1-1
100%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
20.6
21.1
1
9%
5
4
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
0-5
4-6
0%
56%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.2
19.4
22.8
7
88%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
60%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
16.1
18.9
10
83%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
2-2
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
14.6
6.7
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
12.4
16.8
0
0%
1
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.5
10.1
14.8
18
116%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
4-5
80%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.4
8.9
5.8
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.6
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.