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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies51%103107
11Timberwolves49%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
36.4
31.6
20
47%
2
8
0
1
0
3
0
2
10-12
83%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
0-5
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
35.3
22.3
13
111%
6
1
2
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
3-3
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
31.1
26.8
9
26%
10
2
1
1
1
1
4
6
3-5
60%
3-12
6-12
25%
48%
0-3
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.6
30.3
24.7
29
89%
7
1
1
1
1
1
2
5
12-12
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
51%
1-2
50%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.3
18.7
15.7
3
30%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.0
31.0
22.8
11
70%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
3-5
60%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
21.9
3.2
7
61%
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
7
3-4
75%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
20.3
5.3
4
33%
6
0
2
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
62%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
15.1
5.6
11
62%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
2-6
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.0
34.1
1
6-12
49%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.1
27.9
2
4-7
49%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.3
20.6
1
2-4
52%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.2
3.3
0
0-1
52%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.7
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.3
38.2
32.5
14
44%
1
6
0
2
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
2-6
33%
42%
2-6
33%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 21.2
38.1
35.0
27
70%
15
2
1
1
1
2
5
10
9-10
90%
6-11
8-14
55%
55%
2-4
50%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 21.9
37.3
36.8
23
46%
2
5
1
1
1
1
2
0
4-7
57%
8-18
7-14
44%
49%
1-4
25%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 27.0
34.6
28.1
2
17%
13
1
0
1
0
0
4
9
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.6
24.4
4.7
5
43%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 24.2
25.7
24.6
11
48%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 20.7
24.2
8.4
10
73%
3
6
2
0
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
2-5
40%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
14.2
20.0
7
88%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
1-1
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 28.3
3.2
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.9
10.0
0
1-2
44%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 29.5
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 31.1
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 26.0
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.