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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Thunder39%10190
11Pacers61%10593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
37.1
34.2
27
47%
18
9
1
2
2
4
2
16
3-4
75%
6-17
8-16
35%
47%
4-10
40%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.6
37.0
35.6
15
51%
9
2
0
1
1
3
7
2
3-4
75%
6-13
6-10
46%
58%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.8
36.1
33.3
14
38%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
6-6
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-6
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.2
35.7
28.6
11
59%
11
1
2
1
2
2
3
8
1-3
33%
5-8
2-3
63%
58%
0-0
-
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 20.8
10.3
25.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
28.3
13.3
8
51%
4
0
1
0
5
1
3
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
20.4
18.5
7
60%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
13.9
18.9
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-3
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.5
13.4
17.0
2
25%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Alex Abrines
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.5
7.7
6.3
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
2-4
50%
Semaj Christon
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
5.7
0
0-1
44%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 36.3
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.8
3.9
0
0-0
43%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.7
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.9
36.0
29.8
10
33%
5
2
2
1
4
1
3
2
4-7
57%
3-10
5-9
30%
55%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.7
34.4
32.0
17
48%
4
3
1
1
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
4-12
4-7
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.8
33.2
33.7
21
46%
8
4
2
2
0
5
4
4
5-6
83%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
2-9
22%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28.0
30.4
22.5
2
20%
5
3
0
0
2
1
3
2
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
20.0
26.0
8
38%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
1-7
14%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
23.8
20.7
14
119%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
3-3
100%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.3
22.4
21.8
2
26%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.2
14.6
2.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.8
13.6
11.9
9
55%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.1
11.7
13.7
8
44%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 32.1
12.1
0
1-2
46%
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
2.1
0
0-0
51%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
1.7
0
0-1
45%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.6
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.