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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2976ers32%9996
18Pistons68%106113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
29.1
14.9
11
42%
4
1
3
1
0
1
1
3
5-7
71%
0-5
1-2
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
27.8
32.1
4
29%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-5
0%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.1
25.8
14.5
16
57%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
2-7
29%
7-11
3-6
64%
51%
0-0
-
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
25.0
29.0
10
56%
7
2
1
2
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
20.2
28.4
3
17%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
0-5
0%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.8
27.8
25.9
13
46%
6
4
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
44%
1-5
20%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
21.1
21.2
9
73%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
5-5
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.2
18.0
18.6
8
51%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.7
17.8
13.6
10
63%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
16.0
17.3
5
51%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
6.2
16.6
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
5.2
10.2
5
108%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
8.1
0
2-3
50%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.6
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
38.8
34.0
19
58%
8
3
1
1
0
2
3
5
1-1
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
50%
0-3
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.0
28.7
33.4
12
51%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
2-6
33%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.8
27.9
25.8
14
51%
2
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
49%
2-7
29%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.5
25.8
30.1
16
57%
17
1
3
1
1
1
3
14
0-0
-
8-13
6-12
62%
55%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.7
22.6
26.2
12
64%
5
2
0
1
1
0
3
2
1-1
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
55%
1-2
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
27.2
24.1
9
40%
8
1
0
1
0
3
2
6
3-3
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
55%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.7
23.8
17.3
8
39%
8
1
1
1
0
3
2
6
2-3
67%
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.2
22.3
15.9
12
68%
7
1
0
0
1
0
4
3
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
52%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.6
20.1
20.4
11
53%
1
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.7
2.8
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.5
2.4
0
0-1
56%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.6
1.4
0
0-0
51%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.1
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.