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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Mavericks49%10787
20Nuggets51%108110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 23.7
35.1
34.3
15
57%
2
5
2
1
1
2
0
2
5-5
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
34.1
34.2
12
55%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
7-13
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
34.1
31.1
15
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
51%
3-7
43%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
34.0
32.6
10
51%
7
8
1
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.6
24.0
26.9
9
51%
6
0
3
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
25.9
12.5
14
72%
4
2
2
1
2
0
2
2
2-4
50%
6-7
2-3
86%
55%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.9
17.4
12.6
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.8
13.9
24.1
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
11.8
5.7
3
19%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.6
6.8
14.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
62%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.9
2.9
3.6
5
87%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
16.0
0
2-4
47%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.6
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
40.5
29.7
14
59%
10
4
1
1
1
1
0
10
2-2
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
37.1
26.1
20
68%
5
1
2
1
0
3
2
3
6-6
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
53%
4-5
80%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
36.8
20.6
31
82%
8
5
0
1
2
3
1
7
2-2
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
49%
5-7
71%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
32.8
23.4
2
17%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-5
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
24.4
25.7
13
63%
4
9
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
5-8
6-10
63%
60%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
21.8
16.8
7
44%
3
2
1
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.0
18.6
22.6
7
39%
3
4
0
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
17.9
12.6
7
64%
9
0
1
0
1
2
3
6
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
5.3
14.5
3
52%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
1.6
6.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
1.6
4.6
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
1.5
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
22.3
1
4-6
56%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.