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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2017
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs57%10174
9Grizzlies43%9989
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
33.9
28.3
13
29%
10
1
0
1
2
3
5
5
5-7
71%
4-18
6-12
22%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
32.8
24.4
12
50%
8
2
0
1
2
3
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.7
29.3
22.6
8
51%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
27.1
16.0
2
33%
12
0
0
0
0
0
1
11
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.4
24.4
18.5
4
25%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
21.6
15.0
9
46%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-4
25%
4-8
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.5
17.2
12.8
12
67%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
2-5
40%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
16.8
20.6
14
85%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-5
40%
6-6
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
15.3
17.9
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.2
15.2
20.9
0
0%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-3
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.4
3.4
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
3.1
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
30.3
2
6-11
53%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
35.5
32.7
12
49%
2
9
2
1
1
2
0
2
5-5
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.0
33.5
24.5
15
48%
8
1
0
1
1
3
2
6
7-8
88%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-2
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.6
24.9
26.2
8
68%
7
2
1
1
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.3
22.8
14.6
3
15%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-8
2-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.1
21.3
20.0
9
65%
6
1
2
1
2
0
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.0
24.1
25.1
7
37%
6
2
0
1
4
2
1
5
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-5
20%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
23.4
27.8
15
52%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
3-3
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
47%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
19.4
26.1
8
68%
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
16.9
10.5
3
38%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
14.2
10.5
9
92%
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
1
1-2
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.3
2.0
16.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
2.0
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-3
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.7
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.9
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.